The general accusation being used by the coalition government (SPD-Green-FDP) is that AfD is a far-right extremist party....you could suggest Nazi-like.
On general accusation...AfD is mostly getting public support (in the 20-percent range of polls) because of public frustration with migration/immigration, and the inability of the federal/state governments to carry out deportations. If the Merkel coalition or the Scholz coalition had settled this problem....the poll numbers would shrink down to some five-to-seven percent level, and all this hype would disappear, but they marginally achieved this task.
What worries the SPD and CDU folks presently? Well....the 2025 federal election.
AfD is trending toward 22-percent, and there's some potential for this to reach 25-percent. It's not enough to win.....but it creates a serious problem in forming a coalition gov't.
There's a new law coming into effect....if you as a party don't pass the 5-percent point....you get zero seats. It's not only affecting the Linke Party, but also potentially the FDP Party. Then there's this discussion about the CSU Party (sister party of the CDU)....which operates only in Bavaria.
Their numbers in most past national elections reach normally around 6-percent of the total vote. In the last election....it was near the 5.2 percent. Some folks believe in Bavaria in 2025....it might be less than 5 percent, and therefore eliminated from the national seats.
In this scenario....there would be the CDU Party, the AfD, the Greens, the SPD, and potentially the new BWS Party. FDP, Linke and CSU? Out.
This worries folks because of the watered-down agenda deals for the CDU folks (likely to be the winner at present).
If AfD were out....there would be less talk of migration and deportation issues. Political concerns would lessen....stability would return.
My odds index on this? I think some folks are worried that the toss-out of AfD would occur, and the Constitutional Court would step in to reverse this....making for a highly embarrassing mess to clean up.
All of this makes the fall of 2025 a very interesting political event to watch.
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