Wednesday, February 17, 2021

Germany and Covid-19: 17 Feb 2021

 1.  At some point in March, it's expected that the German health authority will approve in-home/rapid Covid-19 tests.  Trust-factor?  Well....it's already noted that only the lab tests are 100-percent reliable.  Will these sell?  What the health authority is opening discussing now.....making the in-home tests available for around 1 Euro per test.  

Use expected?  Unknown.  Some folks are suggesting that virtually everyone will have one or two of the tests around for emergency use.  

2.  Defective FFP-2 masks?  Well, the story is opening up today that Baden-Wurttemberg (the state) went and bought a whole bunch of the FFP-2 masks, and they aren't stamped as official masks (counterfeit?).  Worthless?  You get that impression.

3.  Decision on whether Oktoberfest occurs or not?  The decision by Bavarian officials will be made this week (if rumors are true).  If they do agree to let it occur?  I'd expect it to mandate daily tests at the gate for everyone entering.  Out of 100,000 visitors per day....I'd take a guess that at least 300 would fail.  

But another even more important question arises....what if they have the Oktoberfest and only 30-percent of the normal crowd shows up?  Fear likely to overwhelm the passion for the beer fest?

4.  The EU health authority has come out with a plan: develop some 'rapid' path to  mutated viruses through genome sequencing, then get a 'rapid' program for Covid-19 vaccines to the mutants, then develop some European network for clinical tests, find some way of speeding up the approval process, and finally....figure out a way to 'rapidly' speed up production.

The thing about this 'chatter'.....these are all things that they should have been openly discussing in August of 2020.  

On the topic of speedy production?  The companies will be grinning and suggesting....just plug in a couple billion Euro to run staged plants around the EU.  Rather than build the pricing and production into one price.....you'd have a tremendous amount of vaccine production....probably even to a rate of ten times the amount of vaccine required.....because of poor planning.  

Not to condemn the EU folks....but they haven't exactly shown brilliance at the level required. 

On the genome 'chatter'....you just kinda wonder....isn't this how the whole bat-virus thing got out anyway?  So we could have bat labs here in Europe...instead of bat labs in Wuhan?  That sounds like a winner.  

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