Vaccination Chatter

 There's a story out of Focus this AM....over a poll concerning the participation of Germans in a Covid-19 vaccine.

The poll says....23-million Germans won't participate.  You can do the math here, out of 83-million in population....it's roughly one out of four that might not vaccinate.

Accurate?  Well....you can't make the case for the statistic, or against it.

There are four things you can take out of this suggestion:

1.  If true, then yes....the whole vaccination program would be wrapped up by the end of July.  Curiously, this continues to be the comment uttered by the Merkel-crew and the virus experts.  Maybe they assumed a high number way back in the summer of 2020, and aren't that surprised.  

2.  From the general 'must-have' jobs out there (police, firemen, nurses, postal, bus and train drivers, etc).....can you function if 25-percent of their work-force isn't vaccinated?  It's an answerable question.  

3.  Is it established that a vaccination prevents the virus or the passing of the virus?  We simply aren't at the level of knowledge yet to say that.  We can't even say that a one-time vaccination effort is enough, and this might be required every 18 to 24 months.

4.  How can you handle international or EU travel, if 25-percent of Germans refuse the vaccination?  Will you mandate a list of requirements for a German to fly from Bonn to Greece....if they aren't vaccinated?  There's already chatter going on that mandates might occur.

Is Germany the only country with this high number?  Well.....no.  Back in mid-January....only sixty-percent of French people indicated that they would participate in the vaccination program.  

I suspect that if you drove across Europe....looking at Hungary, Czech, Austria, Italy, etc....it's somewhere between 10 percent and 40 percent of the population of each country that will refuse the vaccination.  

If you take in the numbers....spring and summer approaching, then there's some false landscape existing where the virus numbers drop dramatically.  Around September/October?  I would suggest that the virus will start a upward trend.  Maybe it won't reach the level of 2020, but it'll still be affecting the general public.  

Just something to ponder upon.