Sunday, May 15, 2022

The War: 15 May 2022

 1.  Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov spoke up and described the war as a 'hybrid war'.  Meaning?  He didn't go into a lot of words over this...other than saying the west is clearly getting deeper into the war itself.

Generally, the meaning is....you start to include cyber-warfare, irregular warfare, and different political tones...to reach a state of war which isn't your regular typical situation.  

2.  Problems getting Sweden and Finland into NATO?  So far, the Turks have raised a slight fuss....mostly over the Kurd community in both countries (total count, by my estimate, around 95,000 in the two Nordic countries).  Erdogan wants some kind of promise that the Kurd community will not get any 'power' out of this NATO deal.

3.  Ukrainian military intelligence suggests that the war will end by the close of 2022.  

I would say this....at the rate of removing tanks and conscripts....Russia can't continue the current pace, without national mobilization and bringing in every last tank in their inventory.  

4.  European Song Contest (ESC) was last night.....Ukraine won (no shocker).

5.  When is the next Russian Presidential election?  17 Mar 2024.

6.  Ukraine is holding several hundred Russian Conscript bodies in refrigerator trains....no one from Moscow is calling or dealing with the release.

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