Six months ago, I would have figured some type of trade deal would have been worked out and some exit treaty would occur. Well....it's a fair shocker at this point, and you have to gaze at 29 March (Exit Day) and start to ponder the obvious path:
1. I don't see how an extension will occur (the EU says they can only have an extension, if they agree to a 2nd referendum).
2. The political folks thinking there is still some deal left that can be made? No, there isn't.
3. PM May? Basically, she's finished. She's near exhaustion, and there's not much left in her magic-bag. I think she's bound to resign by 2nd week of April.
4. The need for a new election? No....the Tories now realize just how much anger exists in the country, with the Tommy Robinson sideshow brewing. There can't be an election in 2019.
5. The only other country hurt seriously with BREXIT (besides the UK)? Germany. I think Merkel will need to disconnect.....retire by June.....and let someone find a trade deal with the UK (stepping around the EU), to get things to a 'norm'.
6. Maybe I'm wrong on this, but I suspect around 50,000 Brits will begin to pack up by early summer, and find some European country to resettle into. Call it asylum or whatever.
7. Finally, the drama over BREXIT will last for about six months, and then things will begin to fall into place. Various countries (outside of the EU mechanism) will have trade deals done, and life will go on. The only true discovery made by people is that the EU never was capable of handling this type of situation.
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