Monday, March 25, 2019

Asylum Story

About every month now in Germany, you have some story to pop up over the government agency....BamF (Bundesamt für Migration und Flüchtlinge, the Federal Office for Migration and Refugees).  It's generally a story which drives Germans frustrated with migration and immigration to just shake their head, and ask more questions.

So the head of BamF (Hans-Eckhard Sommer)....was interviewed.

He has two key frustrations.

First, there are too many unsupportable asylum applications.  For 2018, there were 162,000 people who tried to migrate into Germany.  Just because you fill out an application....DOESN'T mean you pass through or get the visa.  For last year, only around 35-percent of the 162,000 passed.  The rest?  They were given failed-paperwork, which most likely tried to appeal before deportation fell into play.  The appeal process, if you pay attention to the stories told on it....means you are buying at least twelve months, and possibly even on up to three years.  Some cases do reach a positive review on appeal, with the failed visa situation thrown out.....but if you look at the reporting, this tends to be one case out of every ten.

How Sommer explains the whole failure rate?  Well....too many people coming in and having no apparent reason for asylum.

For decades after WW II, there was a process and expected trail of paperwork/approval.....to get into Germany.  For a brief period from 2013 to 2016, the German system dumped that process.  Over the past two years, they've gone back to the expected trail.

If you claim asylum, you need reasons (being gay in a Muslim country, being a Christian in a Muslim country, your nation in a civil war, etc).  Trying to claim a visa for job purposes?  That's economic migration, and totally different from asylum.  In this case, if you had some minor level of German language ability, and a skill craft/degree....then the Germans would push the application higher on the approval process.  If you speak no German, have no true reason for asylum, and no skill or craft to claim.....disapproval on the application is more than likely.

Then Sommer gets to his second frustration...the trend of pro-refugee groups getting into the middle of deportations, and preventing the deportation of individuals.

He even reaches the level of suggesting some type of criminal punishment against these Germans who are hindering the process.  There's a bill in the Bundestag being reviewed where it'd be a criminal action if you were a German who tried to warn individuals of a failed visa application and affected the deportation.

The problem is that a growing number of Germans have a negative view about what's been done over the past five years, and believe some type of 'correction' has to be made to the system.

The deportation business?  The problem here is when you have a serious assault, rape, or murder, and there's a immigrant or asylum seeker in the mix.....it's an extremely high chance that they've failed the visa application, and on some deportation list.  Germans see this trend and question political figures over the reason for this. For the CDU and SPD....it's brought losses in polling numbers, and creates a wave that favors the AfD.  The two political parties are in a lose-lose situation.  They could correct the deportation issues, but irk the pro-asylum voters who support either the CDU or SPD parties.  Or they could weaken the deportation process, which triggers voters into flipping over to the AfD Party.

For either of these two issues to be resolved?  I wouldn't expect it.  It's now become too big of a political topic.

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