I noticed this morning in German commercial news, that polling for the three German state elections (slated for the fall) has started to occur.
The three states.....Saxony (August), Brandenburg (September) and Thuringia (September). All eastern states of Germany.
The current polling, if you combined the polls for all three states? The news folks say the AfD could take 23 percent, and win, with the CDU folks a point behind (2nd place). Pushing fairly dismal numbers would be the SPD Party.
If this held true, and AfD ended up winning all three? First, it's fairly impossible to build a coalition government, because none of the other political parties would 'join' up. So the second place winner in each state (likely to be the CDU) would get the eventual nod. However, the effort would mean that it'd be the CDU, with at least two partners, and the number of deals to be made would go into dozens, and weaken the CDU initiatives offered during the campaign period.
Second, the current trend by the news media is that the AfD is spiraling downward, and this win (if it occurs in the three states) would kill off that storyline of the news media.
Finally, you come to public frustration still lingering over migration, integration and the open door policy of the past five years. If these results hold true, then public anger has yet to subside and it harms the CDU theme in 2021's national election.
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