While I have no doubt that Boris Johnson will end up as PM of the UK.....I believe that the deadline discussed (31 October set by the EU as the absolute end-point) will come, and NO new deal will be offered, and the Parliament will stall Johnson on every opportunity to simply exit.
What happens in November? I think that a vast majority of Brits will sitting there and laughing. The Johnson promise to leave? It won't occur. The EU? It'll vote to add a 100-odd day extension onto this and probably bring them into March of 2020.
The next official UK election? Not until May of 2022....a long way away.
My general belief is that Johnson will be fairly disgruntled by spring of 2020....with no exit or new deal.....with more than half of the Parliament members unable to agree to much of anything. So I think that Johnson will call it quits by October of 2020....saying that BREXIT is impossible to accomplish. The EU? They will be on extension four by that point, and promising yet another extension into the summer of 2021.
All of this, I think, will be a remarkable landscape for the one-year run-up to the 2022 election, with the Tory Party and Labour Party both unable to get any public support, and at least two or there new parties arriving with disgruntled Brits.
A comedy of sorts? Yes....it will be best described as a comedy by the general public, and laughed about for the next hundred years.
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