Sunday, August 23, 2020

Covid Statistical Chatter

Using the regional data from Wiesbaden Aktuell, you can draw several conclusions on Covid-19.

Nationwide, since day one....there have been a total of 233k total positive cases of the Coronavirus (83-million population). 

Presently, 206k are considered well.

Total deaths, 9,272 (presently).

The infection rate?  This is what bothers the virus experts the most....they'd prefer for it to be less than one infected guy infecting one other individual.  Presently, the rate is set at 1.13....meaning for each hundred folks infected....they infect 113 folks. 

I live in a town with 285k residents.  Presently, the total number of deaths is set at 22, and the total number of active cases set at 78 (since day one, 734 total infected people). 

Those who didn't show symptoms or test for issues?  Well....that's part of the statistical data which doesn't really exist.  There could be 4k people who had one or two symptoms, and never were tested. 

If you were playing this 734 total infected folks (out of 285k) in a lottery 'drama'?  You'd basically be saying that it might take 50 years before your 'win' comes up. 

Why the 'good' numbers?  There's often debate over this by the virus experts.  Some talk over sanitation habits of society.  Some suggest the masks made a difference.  Some say social distancing carried a lot of weight.  Some like to bring up the vitamin D levels.  Some point to lesser travel or vacations. 

The problem as you can imagine....there is no clear manner to assign happy news.

I noticed today that via the ARD news (Public TV, Channel One)....a German virus expert had commentary over the weakness that follows the recovery.  He figured that around 3-percent of the infected folks had long-term recovery as their big issue.  Lack of energy, shortness of breath, fatigue, etc.  We aren't talking the over 70-crowd....these are Olympic candidates....two months after the recovery....who are still wondering when they get back to a norm.

It isn't the knowns that worry people....it's the unknowns.  And without that feeling, you can't live a normal life. 

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