Tuesday, April 20, 2021

How Big a Deal is the Saxony-Anhalt State Election Now?

 It's the next state election to occur in Germany (6th of June).

There are three 'signs' that you might gain through the outcome here:

1.  If a negative stance is taken by the public over the CDU's Laschet as the Chancellor-candidate....this would be a moment where it might be noticed.

2.  Green gains?  Up until now, it was generally believed that the Greens would take 9 to 10 percent in the state election.  With Baerbock as their candidate?  Might it be a five-point gain (getting closer to 14 or 15 percent) in the state election?

3.  The AfD is fairly situated in second place (at least from January polling) at around 23 percent.  It would be a curious outcome if they plugged up two or three more points and somehow 'won' this election.

I might go and suggest that this is not a huge deal because it reflects only around 1.1-million voters and their view of events in this eastern state.  

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