Thursday, September 26, 2024

Explaining The German Green Party Spiral

 First, just so you understand the basic design of all German political parties.....they all have a 'menu' of promises, which appeals to x-number of voters.  

Under this 'umbrella'.....you have folks that have a priority on anti-war or anti-nuke weapons.   You also have a group of voters who are pro-environment, pro-legalization of cannabis, anti-gas/diesel cars, and anti-capitalism.  

In the Green Party.....there's probably thirty to forty different 'promise-groups', and  one of these voting blocks....is pro-asylum and anti-deportation.  At some point in time (around January 2016 probably)....some pro-Green Party enthusiasts/voters.....reached a new position where they felt some asylum folks needed deportation.   As the months and years went  by....this group of voters eventually reached a point where they departed for the SPD or CDU Parties.

There's been three state elections this year....in the eastern side of Germany, and the Green Party got a 'crap' showing of voters.  

Among some Green Party enthusiasts (the ones who stayed with the party)....they see this resignation of the top-level executive council of the Greens....as a positive thing, and this is where you change policy.

There's going to be a major meeting of the party and this policy discussion will occur.  

What I'll say?  I would imagine around a quarter of the people who support the Green Party....are die-hard pro-asylum and anti-deportation enthusiasts.  So offering up a change in  strategy....is not going be something they can support.  Maybe this can be worded in some 'soft' version....where criminal behavior matters, and you expect society to fit in a harmonious way, or you need to leave.  

All of this strategy changing....occurring a year before the fed-election?  Yeah, there is that element, but lets be honest here.....the coalition is having trouble,  and they might fold-up and collapse here in October....requiring a new election ASAP.

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