Well....if you use the latest INSA poll....CDU-CSU would win (in the 31-percent range).
2nd place? It'd go to AfD...around 19-percent.
SPD would be near 15-percent, with the Greens near 11-percent.
BSW? Around 9.5-percent.
FDP? They would fail to reach the 5-percent point....thus getting zero seats.
Linke? Same story.....fail to reach 5-percent.
So you'd sit and ask....coalition-wise....where does the CDU-CSU situation go? Well...since they can't partner with AfD....you are left with only two options.
Option 1: CDU-CSU, with BSW and SPD.
Option 2: CDU-CSU, with SPD and Greens.
All of this assumes that the Greens don't falter over the next 12 months....that BSW continues it's trend upward, and that AfD doesn't get 3-to-5 points higher. It also assumes that the FDP doesn't repair it's problems and doesn't get back to the 5-percent point.
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