Saturday, February 2, 2019

The Immigration Survey Story

Everytime I see a German government attempt at a survey or poll action.....I go and put on my skepticism 'hat' and question the intent, the type of questions asked, and what the goal was in the end. 

This week, I noted a brief story that popped up where the federal government of Germany went out and questioned a fair number of immigrants who arrived in 2016, and where they stood today on employment. Why 2016 arrivals?  That's the first problem with this story.  Why not start with those came in 2013 as the migration situation started to be noticed?  Or why not go back to 2010, when there was just an average of 250,000 migrants and immigrants arriving? 

So out of 7,500 folks interviewed for this survey....roughly 60-percent have not found a job.  Course, you go over the situation.  Here's a guy who arrives in maybe mid-summer of 2016....sits around a migrant-welcome center for six months while awaiting approval for a visa, and maybe by spring of 2017....he's given the visa and proceeds to the next step....language classes.  With the intensive program, you are talking about nine months minimum.  Then if you pass that test, you go onto the integration class (30 days).  At that point, you are in the job-center and trying to get them to locate this job, and them trying to make you understand that you don't have any skillcraft training, and it means at least a year (maybe two) of training to reach 'hiring' status. 

If you do the math and flow-chart, most are still in some kind of job-training deal....so the 60-percent results really don't mean much.

As for the rest of the folks?  Twenty-percent of those questioned did have a job, but it was a mini-job...meaning that it's part-time.  It's better than nothing and I suspect most are in bakeries or grocery store operations. 

So you have roughly twenty-percent of the folks on a full-time job and employed.  Via the language classes I took....I met a number of folks who did have backgrounds and education to help get them jobs.  I met one guy who had nurse certification and easily found a job.  I met another guy who had been in the oil analysis and engineering field for a decade....he had no issues in finding a job.  The list goes on and on.

Does the survey really say anything?  No.  On average, I think from the day that a immigrant arrives in Germany....you need to figure it'll be four years before they are employed and producing results.  The money that the government funneled into this....waiting for the results-day to arrive?  It's part of the problem in which migrants expected quicker results, and Germans questioning their government over the investment/pay-back. 

One of the success stories I noticed....back in the spring of 2018, I had this conversation with a young Ghanaian guy.  He'd lucked out getting a visa, and a local grocery had picked him up for a mini-job situation.  In the German language class, he was progressing.  He was about three months away from completing the language requirements, and the grocery boss had offered him a full-time contract (2,800 Euro before taxes) once he finished up language and integration classes.  I figured in six month, he'd be done and be fully-employed. 

No comments: