1. If you watched this chatter over the week about the EU and Switzerland waking up in the middle of trade talks....that were supposed to lead to a treaty, they failed (miserably, if you take what the Swiss say).
Chief reason? Well....the chatter leads to one odd EU demand in this business.....they wanted free movement of migrants to be accepted by the Swiss....which they weren't about to engage in this and draw up a massive public voting mess in Switzerland.
So the trade talks are finished? I would suggest that they will be dumped there until late summer, and the EU team will re-engage...spending another entire year chatting about trade, but keep coming back to the Swiss needing to resolve migrant movement within the Swiss border.
2. Austria is working up this idea similar to a sex-offender rooster....except it'd involve people accused/convicted of terror acts.
Once you got pushed....you'd register yourself (if you had past crimes) on this terror listing....for the rest of your life.
Deporting you? No....it's just that if you moved around Austria....you'd have to report to the local police and they'd know you were a 'bad-boy' ten years ago. I don't think it really resolves anything but at least the politicians convince you that they 'fixed' something.
3. This Belarus, RyanAir, and Lukashenko business?
Basically, the US and EU are going to cut off trade, and probably all air-traffic. Lukashenko won't care, but there's probably 20,000 Belarus residents who travel and do trade outside of the country.
Heading toward third-world status? I would imagine trade and commerce within Belarus is headed for a two-year 'dip'.
It would have been a lot easier to just hire some thugs to rig up a fake accident while this guy was in Greece and avoid the headlines. That's how stupid the whole thing has become.
4. Continual chatter over the German Presidential race in the spring of 2022 (to be elected by the Bundestag, not the general public). Steinmeier (current President, from SPD Party) says he'd like a second term.
Journalists this week hyped up the idea that it's time for a woman, and they listed three. AKK (the Defense Minister, CDU Party), Glockner (Agricultural Minister, CDU Party), and Katrin Goring-Eckardt (Green Party).
Why it needs to be a woman? Well....because.
Whoever wins the September Bundestag election will have to build a coalition, and the voting agreement (secretly) will concern who the two or three parties agree to slide their votes over to. I think Steinmeier could still win. Personality-wise, it's hard to see Goring-Eckardt getting the votes for the job.
5. Finally, there's some chatter that the UK is fed up with illegal migrants making it to their shores from Europe. So there's some talk that PM Johnson wants to send them back, period. We aren't even talking about an application process....you'd just be determined to be illegal and sent back to France, Spain, etc.
Odds of this happening? Almost zero. But there's a fair amount of hostility brewing in the UK over the increasing number of migrants. Within a couple of years, there's going to be serious military-related action to occur, and whatever image you have today.....will be a major problem.
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