Tuesday, May 17, 2022

The War: 17 May 2022

 1. I sat and looked at overhead imagery of the river-crossing 'massacre' that occurred three days ago....with the Russians trying to run a pontoon-bridge situation.  Just analyzing this with my past intel background.

This area requiring the pontoon-bridge?  I'd say at best....it's maybe 200 ft.  I would question the depth of this, or if the status is 'river' or should be called a 'creek'.  Maybe it was 20 feet. 

What the experts say is that 450-odd Russians died there in some miserably-conceived crossing scheme.  I don't think the Conscript guys had done this much, and the expert or two they had around....probably had always done these in exercises with no opposing forces in the local area.  

If you'd made it to the other side alive.....then what, when the battle started up and pontoon-bridge got blasted?  How did these idiots get back across the stream?

2.  Some report via Focus this AM....buildings on fire in Russia (Kursk, about 50 mile from the Ukraine border).  Ukraine isn't saying they are responsible.  Pretty odd deal....maybe pro-Ukraine Russians involved?  Based on the description....I'd say it was a M-95 situation (mortar can handle 8.3 miles range).  

Course, this could be Russian contracted troops who were told to blast Russian sites to ensure fear continues.  

3.  Brit Guardian paper says (BS-factor of '5')....that Putin is currently managing the war himself....making decisions that typically would be a Colonel or 1-star General would make.  Sounds a lot like Hitler's method in 1940s.  

4.  Last night on Russian state TV.....analyst went into a strong blunt negative commentary about the special operation.  He kinda hints that all this effort by the Ukrainian has been successful, and there's no real payback on dead Conscripts.  It may be that they are preparing the public for the replacement of Putin.

5.  Germans admit a unusual problem for granting 'welfare' payment to Ukrainians in Germany.  These 'payment' slips are made on special paper, and there is a national shortage of the particular paper.  Why they can't go digital?  Well....it'd be interesting to hear this answer. 

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