Tuesday, May 24, 2022

The Russian Conscript Contract Problem

 I noticed this brought up on N-TV news this AM.

So the Conscript crowd being used for the Russian military have contracts, and there's some issues brewing.

While used in the initial invasion to a great degree....a fair number were pulled back about a month into the war, and 'professional' Army members filled in.  Those guys....the professionals....are tired and run-down.  The odds that the Conscripts will return?  If you only had three or four months left on your contract.....the odds are that you aren't thrilled about returning to the war.  

Damaging your own hardware?  This got brought up in the news piece....there's a fair amount of worry by the leadership of the Russian military that people are now disgruntled enough....to commit to sabotage.

Dead or wounded?  Most people now put the dead/wounded total at 50,000-plus for the Russian military, and expect the number to continue rising.

After watching the whole interview/news piece....my thoughts are that Russia needs to reach some completion position by mid-summer (say July).  

No comments: