Merkel's CDU/CSU is pulling good numbers....37-percent.
The SPD? They lost another point (down to 20-percent). It is possible that they might NOT even make 20-percent on election day, which would be a huge shocker.
Combined CDU/CSU and SPD? It looks like they won't go past 57-percent, which is a big message from the public against both parties.
The AfD? They've climbed to 12-percent, and I suspect we will be fairly shocked at a 13-percent vote on election day. The rest stand stationary.
The news media? They are trying hard in the last two or three days to suggest a giant coalition situation....the CDU-CSU, with the Greens and FDP. It will be remarkable if this were going to happen and the amount of negotiations required between the four groups. Adding to this....the SPD could say 'absolutely no' to being a coalition partner and force the CDU into this four-way position.
For the SPD? I think there will have to be a year-long huddle....long discussion on rebuilding the party, and a search for new faces for 2021. I also have doubts that a four-way coalition will be able to survive the next four years, and early elections might be called upon.
No comments:
Post a Comment