In recent days in Germany, there's a new hype on the political coalition that might come out of this election....that the only option beyond the CDU-CSU-SPD option.....might perhaps be a CDU-CSU-Green-FDP option.
The FDP probably won't clear 10-percent on the vote, and the Greens will be lucky to get 7-percent.
The odds of a four-way coalition? I'd give it barely 20-percent chance.
How many cabinet positions would have be managed in this deal? The CSU would demand at least two, with the FDP and Greens likely asking for three each.
The Vice-Chancellor? Don't even bring up how this would be done.
The reason why topic comes up? There's some indication of another point or two coming up for the FDP, and that the AfD folks might actually get near 12-percent. Toss in a last-minute add-on with the SPD....and there just aren't that many options left for the coalition deal.
Merkel and a four-way situation for four years? It would take weeks of efforts to get all four parties on the same page, and agreeable to some form of a coalition. It'd be almost inviting disaster in some form within a year or two.....perhaps suggesting another election by 2019.
No comments:
Post a Comment