The ARD folks (public TV in Germany, Channel One) did a political poll situation across Germany. If there was an election tomorrow, it'd create a huge amount of chaos.
CDU: 33-percent
SPD: 16-percent
Greens: 13-percent
FDP: 9-percent
Linke Party: 11-percent
AfD Party (anti-immigration folks): 15-percent
If you go back to September and the national election....the SPD had a fairly bad showing as it was....but now have slipped roughly six points since then. The AfD? Oddly, they continue to rise, as do the Greens.
If you held an election now....course the CDU would win, but how would form a new government? A coalition exercise? No matter how you do the numbers....you have to have three groups to make 50-percent or more. Once you make the rule within the CDU that you can't partner with the AfD or the Linke Party....this becomes an impossible exercise.
Will this early March vote within the SPD Party form up around a CDU-SPD government? I have my doubts. And if this trend with the SPD losing public support continues? You could be looking at one single significant party in Germany, and maybe five or six 10-to-15 percent sub-player parties.
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