Thursday, February 15, 2018

This German NATO Headquarters Talk

Over the last week....it's been discussed lightly in the German news media that Germany wants to have a major NATO headquarters in Germany. 

Why? 

This gets to be kinda amusing.  First, there is the NATO headquarters that exists already in Brussels, Belgium.  It's been there for almost fifty years.  They aren't really saying they want to replace that structure.

What the Germans hint at....is that they want a logistics hub headquarters....where logistical decisions are made for all of NATO.  Course, you'd ask the question....aren't these decisions already made in the Brussels HQ's?  Well....yes and no. 

Typically, at the NATO headquarters in Brussels.....they make decisions about troops, tanks, or aircraft moving to some exercise area, or some operational area, and then the logistics part of this is accomplished within that country's own resources.

To be honest....with the exception of the US, the UK, France, and Germany....the logistics might of the remaining members of NATO isn't much to discuss. 

Where would this German NATO logistical hub headquarters be located?  Already decided by the Germans....Bonn.  They have a German base there and ample room to build upon it.

Do the other members support this?  Total unknown.  No one has talked much about this, and I doubt that the Brits, French or Americans really feel hyped up about this idea.

Are the Germans really good at logistical decisions?  No.  This is not the 1940 German Army period, and most of the time that logistics come up in German Army news today....it's a really sad and dismal story.

Why hype this idea?  They'd like to reach 2-percent of spending levels, but they want the money to stay within Germany.  So for some brief period....maybe two years....they'd build the building, and housing area, and the money would stay local.  After the two years of building?  Well, one might suspect that they'd slide back down to 1.2-percent of GDP.

Do we really need this structure?  The Cold War ended in the early 1990s.  It's hard to stand up and say that Russia is some big threat.  Is it worth spending a billion Euro on some Bonn base structure?  One might have doubts.

Would the US support this?  They will tell you that they don't really need another 'filter' and it's doubtful that making a fake-headquarters like this would really make any difference....if you don't really pick up the slack of logistical requirements.  My gut feeling is that Trump and team won't support this.  The French?  Unlikely as well.  The Brits?  Only if it helps them get good results for BREXIT.

So, that's the big picture of this discussion.  It probably won't go too far. 

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