Tuesday, February 6, 2018

450,000 Versus 82-Million?

A vote will occur shortly within the SPD Party membership, and that will determine if the coalition agreement will be accepted and a government will be formed between the CDU-CSU and the SPD Party.

It is a rather odd stance....roughly 450,000 folks are registered with the party and they get to say if the party agreement is good enough for them, or vote against it. 

The fear?  There's a fair number of SPD members under the age of thirty-five....who believe the party has forsaken them, and the core beliefs.  They oppose the situation and there could be just enough votes (say 51-percent) to stop this whole coalition deal.

What happens then?

Well...you have two choices. Run a minority government with just the CDU-CSU folks and hope that enough AfD and FDP votes exist on projects to keep their concept alive.   The odds of this?  It means having to do things that the AfD might have strong negative opinions about.

The second choice is a whole second vote.  A lot of people within the top tier of the CDU and SPD would prefer this NOT happen.  The SPD is weak presently, and it'd just create a bigger mess to handle.

Merkel?  She's basically sitting at a poker-table with a pair of twos and a pair of aces...hoping that's enough to win this and move on. 

So you sit and do the math.  Basically 225,001 folks are enough to halt this government from happening, if they were against the SPD deal with the CDU. 

No comments: