Interview Worth Watching

 There's an interesting interview off Radio Liberty which I would suggest a review (5:21 min long).

So in the midst of this, Pavel brings up this one curious topic which has been on my mind for a full week now.  A lot of video evidence indicates older equipment being used, and a fair number of conscripts.  

The equipment thing brings up a discussion.....if you go this route, you tend to have more of a maintenance 'burden' on your back, and mechanics are dragged to a broke-down situation.....where X-part is required, and might not be on the fix-it truck.   So a order goes out for X-part, and it's probably a 7-to-10 waiting time to get the part from the depot.....to the front. 

Various people have talked about this....Ukrainian forces coming up one single tank in the road....no damage....fueled up....no logical reason except for a maintenance problem.  They gave up waiting for the mechanic crew to arrive.  

As for captures and Russian troops dead?  Are the Russian generals even reporting accurate numbers back to the Kremlin?  I doubt it.  You wouldn't want to admit that in a 24-hour period, you had two-hundred troops killed (confirmed) and there's two-hundred-odd Russian troops who just kinda disappeared (maybe captured....maybe dead....maybe just hiding in the woods to wait for some 'end').

Pavel also bringing up the 'capture-two-Ukrainian-cities-strategy'?  Well....the idea goes this way, the Russians (at least Kremlin-people) would believe that once they encircle a city....surrender finally comes, and they can bluff their way around to the idea that the Nazis in the Ukraine were defeated.  

I know....it's strategy that some 12-year-old juvenile would come up with.

If the two cities are encircled, and some crazy Ukrainians end up with anti-tank weapons targeting the tank columns parked?  I think you'd start to see some worried conscripts starting a retreat....with generals freaking out over the way they have to explain this to Putin and the Kremlin crew.

All of this means more resources poured into a half-ass planned assault/invasion, and assets 'burned' at a pace that no one expected.

Any hope of this ending in March?  I'd go to the idea that unless some leadership change in Moscow occurs....this will still be going in April (maybe even May).