Last night, via public TV on ZDF (Channel Two), the Markus Lanz show came on. It's a live show, with a chat forum situation. His chief guest? Florence Gaub.
I left the clip here, if you want to watch it....19-minute discussion:
Gaub? She's what you'd call an expert on modern and past warfare.
Her analysis of the Putin-War? Whatever plan 'A' or 'B' was....it's failed miserably, and Putin has no way to exit.
As for Ukraine's strategy stall the Russians? It's worked, and the dynamics of convoy-resupply efforts for the Russians is failing.
She also soothed German fears over nuclear war.
I tend to agree with most everything she said. If the resupply convoy lines can't perform at 100-percent, or even 50-percent....then you will find ten-thousand-odd Russian troops standing there in two weeks....being told not to fire their weapon more than ten times per day, to stretch out a 5,000 calorie meal packet for five days until they get the next delivery of food (meaning you lose a pound or two per day), and leaving wounded comrades behind because there's no medical support going on.
The X-day? This is the day that the Ukrainians trap some 4-star Russian general two miles outside of Kiev and have him order a surrender of 6,000 troops under his command. At that moment, Putin's war has marginal chance of any win. The general in question? He can never go back to Moscow or Russia, and a massive 'fit' will occur with Putin when the news gets to Moscow.
I recommend a view of her chat....all in German of course.
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