Tuesday, March 31, 2020

Germany and the Coronavirus: 31 March 2020

1.  Deaths:  549 (Focus numbers)   Infected: 62,166  (Focus numbers).    Bavaria moved ahead on infections, and sits at 14,437 infected.  There was a 'death-surge' yesterday....almost a hundred over the previous day.  If you do the spreadsheet analysis....the 1,000 dead point will be reached by this coming weekend.  The pace to 2,000 dead?  It'll be achieved within seven days after the 1,000 dead point. 

2.  There's an association of Zoos in Germany, which are shut-down because of the public order.....now requesting a 100-million Euro situation from the Berlin authority.  For almost a month, no visitors have been allowed, and these Zoos are suffering a bit on money.  Government hasn't said anything but it's mostly due to them that the Zoos are closed off to the public. 

3.  The city of Jena has started a new rule....if you are in a public setting, you need to wear something over your mouth-noise.

4.  Third negative test for Chancellor Merkel completed.

5.  Several legal cases for Corona have started to reach the courts.  A bank in Hessen was going to have it's public stockholders meeting (a public situation).  Everything would have been done digitally for the stockholders, with the officials the only ones there.  One stockholder is determined to prevent that.  Another challenge concerns the ability of the government to shutdown business operations.  There's also a challenge by the Catholic Church to limit or halt their services.  These might be interesting to view.

6.  Lufthansa flew in one flight from Kenya last night (Mon) of Germans who'd been stuck there.  No idea on the number aboard.

7.  Two groups of German scientists have studied the virus and now both suggest that this 'wave' will not end until the early fall period (September).

8.  Some Germans have brought up 1986, the Chernobyl period, and how the public reaction was 'only moderate'.  Some remember playing soccer on grounds that likely had radiation 'ash' on them.  Now?  They may have a point.  In today's world?  You would have shutdown everything for at least a month. 

9.  Some discussion going on about restarting the soccer season (maybe not in April). They would start a delayed season (maybe in late May).  This would naturally mean a period of 'rest' in the early-fall, and then the new season would start two months later (maybe in November).  Teams are a bit desperate for income (I think) and fans are willing (against government advice) to come out.

10.  Death rate against infected?  .9-percent.  Italy's percentage?  11.4-percent.

11.  Where I see the relaxation?  I think shortly after Easter....a series (maybe even up to ten periods) will start to occur.  Borders and airport situations will change only if the EU ensures a mass relaxation, and this might take two additional months.  But I think most businesses will be open within three weeks after Easter. 

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