1. Can a written 'end-the-hostilities' treaty be signed (especially by Putin)?
Basically, NO.
I would imagine that back on the 20th of February (when the conflict started)....there was a draft 'we-will-surrender' text document that the FSB had written and had been reviewed by Putin and his support-team (probably two months of review).
It's probably a two-pager, and says a dozen-odd things about the future of the Ukraine.
So, after 30-odd days of military operations....that draft document doesn't get discussed much, and Putin sits with his Kremlin-buddies at night thinking over this problem. They can't see anyone of a legit nature for the Putin team...signing some crappy 'end-the-hostilities' document.
In effect, they need a replacement for Zelenskyy (the current Ukraine President)....maybe some Moscow-puppet....who'd be willing to sign that original document which would make all of them feel better.
2. If you were ethnic Russian-Ukrainian in the Luhansk and Donetsk 'states', and looking at the prospect of being future Russian-Peoples Republics (each)....looking around at the massive amount of damage and destruction...just how positive would your outlook be?
I sat and watched video of the past week of the Luhansk area. On a destruction scorecard....one to ten.....based on video, I'd give the Luhansk area a '8'. There might be some rural farming areas with lesser damage, but the urbanized areas look like crap.
If I were a ethnic Russian....I'd look at the damage....the future, and then just laugh. I'm not staying there. I'm leaving for Russia, and asking for some type of 'help'.
Naturally, you'd arrive at some Russian social-help office and explain your situation. The Russian folks would smile and say.....well.....there's no damage in Luhansk or Donetsk.
Your Russian friend who is temp-housing you? They don't believe your story either. The bakery shop lady? Nope.....she doesn't believe your story. Some geeky kid at the park believes your story but he warns you....don't go around suggesting utter destruction in public.
3. Finally, the big question....if you were among the 150,000 troops originally assembled for what you thought was a nifty military exercise, then lead to the border crossing, and thirty war-days later....what's your view?
Ivan, your buddy of four months while on conscription? He's dead...shot on day three and just left by some APC that ran out of fuel. His body was simply left in the corner of a corn field.
Oleg, your other buddy.....for six weeks in the platoon before the border-crossing day....he was left pretty burned up while driving the fuel tanker that exploded.
Andrei, your crazy guy in the company....dead on day fourteen. He was standing next to a tank that got hit by a anti-tank missile, and the flipping turret actually fell on top of him while he was laying on the ground.
Yegor, was the chunky kid in the platoon who disappeared on day sixteen.....having starved for three days and no resupply convoy was in sight for at least two more days. Yegor might still be alive but the commander has noted him deserted at this point.
Ira, your marginal IQ buddy was captured on day twenty-one. Rumor has it that he called his mama, and she was shocked that he was in the Ukraine....asking him if return home by her birthday in June.
Five years from now.....from the crowd of Russian enlisted that survived the 'conflict....they will gather in bars and be heavily into PTSD problems. They blame their commanders, the Kremlin, and Putin for what was supposed to be a 3-day war.
The medals? All worthless at this point. No one attends memorial parades....they mostly hang out at city parks and drink excessive amounts of vodka.
No comments:
Post a Comment