It's not something you will hear much about, but there's a state (really a city) election coming up for Berlin (26 Sep 2021).
There's a poll done in the last couple of days (courtesy of RBB) and things are shaping up a bit for the election.
The Green Party (currently running the city gov't since 2017)? They are polling at 22-percent and currently are on a downward trend.
Right behind them at 21-percent....is the CDU Party.
The SPD Party? At 17-percent.
The Linke Party? At 12-percent.
The AfD Party? At 10-percent.
The FDP Party? On a upward trend for the past month, at 9-percent.
What this would suggest? Unless the Greens find some 'magic'....the CDU probably will pass them in the next couple of weeks.
As for the FDP folks? They are mostly taken advantage of the negativity over SPD's Giffey's who is leading the party apparatus in Berlin (remember her degree troubles from the past month). I might go and project another three points loss for the SPD, and the votes going to the FDP Party.
As for the AfD? They are pretty much at maximum potential in this election. If you went around and asked most working-class Berliners about their top-ten issues in town....integration/migration wouldn't make it on the list.
As for the current coalition? The SPD folks won in 2017, and built the five-year coalition around the Linke Party and Greens. If the CDU did win this election....their coalition probably would be the SPD and FDP. The odds that this would NOT be enough to be fifty-plus percent? Well....yeah, that is a minor issue.
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