Well, tonight, what is said is that the CDU Party (Merkel's group) will meet in some virtual way, and elect a party chief. This is step one....toward the Chancellor candidate for the fall of 2021's election.
The three choices? Rottgen, Laschett, and Merz.
Weakest of the three? It appears to be Rottgen. Some would suggest that he could be elected as the party-chief but another person would be selected as the chancellor-candidate.
On the intellectual scale and scandal-proof-scale....he's a '10'. But generally, he doesn't excite the general public.
Laschett? Premier-President, and generally disliked by the news media. I would suggest that it's virtually no way for him to win here, or as the Chancellor-candidate.
So this leave Merz.....who could be both the party-chief and chancellor-candidate....but generally disliked by Merkel and her supporters.
The general identified replacement by Merkel? This comes down to two folks who aren't running for the party-chief job....Soder (Premier-President of Bavaria) and Spahn (the Health Minister).
There's generally been bad luck for Bavarian candidates (at least since the 1960s). For Spahn, some think he's not old enough for the job (presently 40 years old).
The chief problem here....while it was common for voters to give 55-to-65 percent of the national vote to the combined effort of the CDU and SPD parties of the past, it's very unlikely to go over 50-percent this time around.
Coalition-wise, this might be the roughest period since WW II for building a coalition government.
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