Tuesday, December 22, 2020

Covid Chatter

 Scientifically speaking....against the new variant of Covid-19....is the current vaccine effective?  Unknown.  Biontech is honest about it since last night....they think it is, but need basically two weeks of testing to reach a conclusion.

The odds here?  I would imagine they come back and say that the current vaccine (rated 95-percent effective against version 1.0 of Covid-19)....is probably 90-percent or so effective against version 2.0 of this Covid mutation.

Things would go forward and folks would be mostly satisfied.  They would not be so satisfied if this were only 50-percent effective.  

But behind that....knowing that another modification is probably just three months away....they will come to admit that next version of the mutating virus will be 80-to-85 percent effective.

At some point around early summer, the government will then come to admit that this is a yearly thing on the vaccination business, and the next production cycle starts in October, and next wave of shots begin in November (my humble guess).

So the reality of this progress is that it'll be a regular flu-like event each year, and permanent centers will be developed with people getting on a schedule and everything (school, travel, etc) will be tied to the cycle. 

A worry factor?  No.  But when the day comes in a decade or so....that you could transmit this to horses, swine, dogs, cats, or cows....then your worry factor will escalate a good bit.  A false chatter?  No, I noticed this morning that the Danes are going back to look how those minks got the virus, and it's probably going to open serious science chatter.  

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