The German Health Minister (Spahn, CDU) gave a interview yesterday, which N-TV covered.
He made three key observations:
1. Vaccinations in Germany would start shortly before Christmas.
2. His belief is that 60-percent of Germany (83-million) would be vaccinated by end-of-summer 2021.
3. All Germans would be vaccinated (at least those who want the shot)....by mid-fall.
Reason for the 'speed'? The production cycle is around 13-million doses per quarter.
This solving things? It's strictly speculation.
I might go and suggest that the higher infection rate/death rate will continue through January, and then probably see some downward trend in Feb/Mar.
The idea of summer vacations going back to normal in June/July/August? Germans might do another round of in-Germany-only, or lightly test the idea of driving over into Italy or Greece. Airlines might crank things up a notch and a few countries will say if you have the virus vaccination card......you might be able to enter without the pre-test.
I'd also go and suggest that 2021 isn't going to be normal in any sense of the word, and that 2022 will really be the return to normalization. Economically-speaking....2021 is going to be a harsh year....with higher taxes coming somewhere down the line to pay for all the borrowed money to pay for Covid costs.
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