If you followed German news over the weekend....some breakout story started up (a page two type) where the Green Party Chancellor-candidate for 2021 was openly discussed, and it's being suggested that it WON'T be Robert Habeck.
For almost 18 months, there's been suggestions here and there.....Robert Habeck is the 'all-in-one' candidate and most likely person to emerge.
What the news folks started to suggest....Habeck is too 'wooden-like' and that the current number two at the German Green Party....Annalena Baerbock....is emerging as the more likely Chancellor-candidate.
So to lay out this landscape....I'll offer four observations:
1. The Greens have pumped things up over the past three years (since the last election) and now are the number two party in Germany....easily showing 20-percent in the polls, and having taken most of that from the SPD Party (weakest stage for them 'ever').
2. Since 2018, Habeck has been a front-guy for the party and invited to various forums and TV shows. Most everyone in Germany recognizes the guy and he does have general appeal.
3. On the 'wooden' nature? Well....yeah, he's just not animated. There's political appeal there, but to suggest that he's a Chancellor-type person? No. Baerbock probably has real animation, but rarely gets TV forum invitations.
4. The big goal of the Greens is to square away 22-to-25 percent and squeeze the heck out of the SPD Party voters. In this scenario, while the CDU probably will win, there's only two scenarios where the Greens aren't invited to be the junior partner in the coalition. I think Baerbock's goal is to remove the alternate scenarios and ensure the Greens are the junior partner in the next government partnership.
As for Habeck finally having competition? Maybe he didn't ever view this episode coming around, or that Baerbock would just be happy with a party-boss job and maybe a minister job in the CDU-Green coalition.
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