Tuesday, May 11, 2021

Where is This Climate Change/'Fridays for the Future' German Dynamic Heading?

 There are different groups, with different levels of motivation, enthusiasm, beliefs, and some can't sit in the same room to discuss the whole matter with their associates.

I would suggest presently that this entire discussion is mostly over 'how' and 'how quickly'.  The extreme pro-side?  You get the impression that if a million jobs disappeared from German industry and agricultural production....this group probably wouldn't immediately grasp this or understand the consequences.  The extreme anti-side?  They don't want to face serious tax increases that are designed to manipulate them into situations, or have cost impacts on the use of their car.

The accusation that Germany is violating the Paris Accords on climate?  Mostly fake, for public consumption.  If you view the actual document business (Focus covered that question)....the EU is the one who signed the document....Germany in the text is not mentioned or jumped into this to promise anything.

The need to meet this 1.5 degree less business?  This is hyped upon each week by the Fridays-for-the-Future crowd.  So far, no one in the science community has been able to develop a model to say x-amount of the 1.5 degrees is man-made and x-amount is Earth/Sun made.  So the accusation stays mostly that all of the 1.5 degrees is man-made, but lacking in facts.  

This 2050 target date to reach climate neutrality?  Generally, if you viewed this at length....the first thing you'd agree upon is that everything should be nuke-power....which would frighten the heck out of 50-percent of environmentalists.  Why the nice round number?  Don't bring it up.....2050 just sounds good.

The long drawn out delay in creating a 'end' to the coal industry in Germany?  Well....it's mostly about how to pay people off to accept this, and how much money did you have to take from the tax bucket to make certain parties happy.  The $44.5 billion required for the shut-down?  Well...each and every German will pay into this pot...to accomplish this.  The fact that various other nations continue on the path....it just means that they didn't pay into the pot or feel a need to get hyped-up.

Around a decade into the future....I suspect that various parties who were thrilled at the actions being chatted upon....will be fairly confused, and in some type of denial about the actions taken.  Between a massive cost of living, high taxation, difficulty in the jobs market, and product-production moved beyond the border....things won't be on a positive path.  

But here's the thing....people needed something to believe in, and that climate change is a wonderful story which is laid out, and how you can be a 'hero' in this bold new world approaching.  You feel good about your actions and motivation.  So why interrupt that feeling?

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