Thursday, May 20, 2021

The 'If' Scenario

 With the 6th of June state election in Saxony-Anhalt....there's wild speculation that if the CDU Party does badly (2nd place situation)....that the executive committee of the CDU Party would meet and dump Laschet (the current candidate for Chancellor for the party). 

My thinking?  This would have to be a fairly bad loss (six points away from the winner)....to bring this miserable business to reality.

So who would then be considered?  Most on this 40-person committee aren't that favorable to consider CSU's Soder (the obvious person)....so you go to the 2nd group.

I would put the Health Minister (Spahn), the Defense Minister (AKK), and Merz on this short-list.

Bringing AKK back for consideration?  That's really a shocker and I think via her or Spahn....the Green Party would drop three or four points.  

All of this leading potentially to a CDU win?  It's probably a better chance than with Laschet.  

No comments: