Saturday, February 18, 2023

How The Bavaria State Election Looks Presently?

 Set for 8 October 2023.

Polling presently?  No doubt that the CSU (sister party of the CDU) will win (actually polling near 42-percent).

Its the second and third place business....to which a coalition can be formed....that now matters.

The Greens are hanging in there with around 16-percent of the polls.  The SPD is far behind at 10-percent.

AfD?  At 9-percent.

FDP?  At 3-to-4 percent.

Finally, the Free Voter Party of Bavaria (FW)....presently stands at 10-percent.  They would call themselves center-right, and claim some values on conservation.  For practical purposes, in highly ruralized areas in Bavaria, the Pfalz and B-W....the FW positions attract voters.  

I would suggest that the FW folks and the CSU....if trends hold....will be the coalition.  If the Greens do some 'gains'....it'll only deduct votes from the SPD, and they really don't want to lag behind with only 7-percent in this race.

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