If the story is true (at this point, the German gov't has just avoided talking over the issue)....the US and Norway orchestrated the bombing of the Nord Stream pipes?
It would lead you to a small core-group within the White House (probably not President Biden) who generally believed the Scholz SPD-led-coalition did not have the guts/willpower....to continue a boycott of Russian natural gas.
At some point in the week prior to 22 September 2022....the US decision would then move to the idea of destroying the pipeline....rather than allow the Scholz gov't to be forced into buying natural gas via Russia.
Lack of trust? I would probably agree with that view.
If you remove the pipelines, there's no opportunity for political persuasion to occur. It's like removing certain cards from a deck, and knowing that various winning hands are now unavailable.
What's it really say about status of Scholz and the coalition? Well....it's not a pleasant thing to lay it out....there's just not that much trust.
Scholz wanting to tell his story....that he knew from January of 2022....this event would occur sooner or later? Maybe....I would suggest at this point....it's not a story that wins any votes, and really demonstrates a long-term problem in relationships.
At some point, the war will come to an end (Putin is probably not going to exist at that point), and there's going to be a meeting of the Nord Stream folks and the German government.
There has to be some closure on the problems/issues of the Ukraine....but Nord Stream will be resolved/fixed, and the purchase of Russian natural gas will start up. I doubt if the Germans will agree to buy in some massive way....as they did prior to 2022....but I would suggest that one-third of requirements will be Russian natural gas in the end....at higher prices than existed in 2021.
All of this to be forgotten? There's two state elections in Germany in the fall (Hessen and Bavaria). There's three state elections in the fall of 2024 (Brandenburg, Sachsen, Thüringen). I would expect the AfD Party to make a strong anti-US campaign....dragging this out and expanding on national criticism of American politics.
It may not make sense, but this sabotage was about trust or lack of trust, and the way that people observe the coalition. It also begs the question.....if this was the Merkel coalition....would the same thing have occurred (I suspect so)?
I should add at this point....few of the Germans news media 'avenues' are telling the story. ARD (public TV, Channel One)? They gave a basic introduction and gave it some negative marks on believability....mostly hinting it as 'fake news'.
4 comments:
Thanks for your review.
It was definitely Seal team 6.
On Seal-6? No. They needed certain divers, and the explosive remote detonation (if the article is correct) wasn't a US built device (Norwegian). But the odd thing from the article (if its to be believed).....there has to be well over 2,000 people (between the US and Norway) who know essential elements of the story. Keeping this quiet will be difficult.
This is an interesting follow-on article about Sy Hersh, from Ray McGovern
https://raymcgovern.com/2023/02/12/transcription-of-rays-feb-11-comments-on-sy-hersh/
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