Thursday, October 31, 2019

Sweden in 2035

Over the past year, I've spent a fair amount of time reading over Swedish economical history, commerce, the migration issues, and public sentiment (both for and against asylum and immigration).  So this is my forecast in 15 years, and what will exist (something radically different from today).

At some point in the next year or two, a economic slowdown will start to occur across much of the EU.   You already see some elements of this in Germany....much less so in France.  Sweden will note the recession and the authorities will simply state that they are 'prepared'.

But as this slowdown starts to be noticed, and some frustrated Swedes feel public safety is no longer guaranteed.....around 10,000 Swedes will opt for leaving Sweden.  The destinations?  Mostly Finland and Canada (with Polish and Czech technology companies and teaching slots also noted).

These Swedes won't be the loser-types, but mostly fitting into craftsmen trades, and technology jobs. 

The wave will be noted about a year into it and some teacher vacancies in urbanized areas will become an issue as the employment 'bosses' won't be able to hire enough teachers to fill slots.

Along about this time....policemen, firemen, and more craftsmen will back to leave.  Those moving into Canada will find themselves easily accepted and shocked how safe they feel there.

Around 2025, a national meeting will be held in Sweden to discuss the lack of teachers.  Some sentiment will be pushed toward importing teachers. 

Around this same time-frame, some technology companies will start reviewing the idea of moving into Finland, or some other EU country because they can't recruit enough people for the work they perform.

A new problem is discovered now by the state tax revenue people....the state is now meeting a negative number situation.  There's simply not enough moving coming in.....to meet all the normal goals. 

An election occurs after 2025 with significant high results for right-wing politics, but court actions occur....to slow down this impact, and prevent the government from enforcing it's new views.

By 2030, the total number of Swedes who will have left from 2019 to 2030 will be near 600,000 (the majority to Canada). 

Tax revenue issues?  It's now a major problem and city councils are calling in non-working migrants and demanding that they get job-training and accept any employment offered.  Because of tax increases, the migrants are now furious at the new situation, and demanding a new political party to be created....to represent them at the national level.

By 2035, another 300,000 Swedes will have left the country, and Sweden is now noted in some doomed stage...unable to correct past issues, and unable to function without serious borrowing action from the EU.  Politics will be treated as a joke, and the police turn-over rate is now near 10-percent a year.  Several major fires will occur between 2030 and 2035, where training deficiencies and manpower problems allow a major number of fire-deaths to occur. 

The unthinkable begins to occur in 2035, as over 450,000 long-term migrants pack-up and leave Sweden.....to return to their homeland.  Locals are shocked at the pace of exiting and wonder what Sweden will be like in the future. The multicultural Sweden.....existing as a Swedish-only culture? 

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