Friday, October 21, 2022

Observations

 1.  PM Truss gone in the UK.

I think if you went to regular Brits....about half of them will say that they aren't that shocked that she's gone in less than two months, and that the Tory Party (in general) is disconnected from the bulk of the nation.

As for what happens now?  I think Boris Johnson comes out of some hole and asks if people want him, and the response will be 'yes'.  The Tories?  They may want someone else but they can't afford to have a repeat in two months of the next guy resigning.

What they really need?  Somewhere out of thin air.....they need a 'manager' (not a political figure).....to resolve their issues, and get them a clear path for three years.

2.  Marginal shelves in German grocery stores?

Basically, the manufacturing side is still producing, but escalating prices....to which the grocery stores are saying 'no, you can't push prices up that much'.  So orders are lessening, and shelves are appearing here and there....less filled.  

It's not a shortage....it's just a handling tactic by the stores themselves.  

I spent an hour in a discount shop this week, and I'd say that 10-percent of the shelves were marginally filled.  

3.  This port discussion up in Hamburg?

There's a huge loading dock in Hamburg, which some Chinese freight company wants to buy.  

Local authorities and the federal folks are pretty much determined now to halt the sale.  

4.  Fracking being discussed?

Well....the Greens will say 'absolutely not', but the industry itself is making the options known.  

Once you get to a absolute shortage of natural gas in the spring, I think the government will approve a period (say five years) to frack on German soil.  I also think the 'Greta-kids' will try to hinder this, and make this some national social agenda to defeat.

2 comments:

Daz said...

On point two, they'd be mad to go back to Johnson as he's yet to take the privileges committee that's investigating his lying to parliament. So he'd potentially be a PM who's not actually a sitting MP as they'll need to run a bi-election that on the current polls he'd loss lose substantially.

Their only way around it is to make sure some of his peer recommendations go through quickly and he can parachute into a safer seat in a bi-election, but nothing is a certainty.

The sooner they're out the better to be blunt.

Schnitzel_Republic said...

There are 2 ways of looking at this....what the public might appear to want, and what the party itself will want. For the party, Johnson is damaged goods, and I doubt if you find more than 25-percent of the party desiring him. However, nationally, the feeling might be opposite.

I might add this as well...it would not shock me if they pull out the final three finalists from the previous selection process, and in Monday/Tuesday of next week....vote one of them in...quickly.

If you asked me the odds of this person staying more than six months? I'd give it only 30-percent odds.

Lets add to the 'flame'...energy crisis will be abundant for the next six months, a financial chaos with the economy will exist, and recession will linger for two-plus years. The UK is ripe for a democratic revolution and public anger. (note: same story in most of Europe as well, so they aren't alone).