Next Monday (the 10th)....Greenland will have their national assembly election.
Chief topic? Well....independence. Of the five parties running....I'd say that three have a strong position (going independent).
The lead party? The 'I-A' folks. They say with the results....they will come back for a national referendum in April....letting the public vote for independence.
Polling-wise? I put an hour into reading up on this in the past week...the I-A folks will take around one-third of the votes. The left-of-center SIU folks will get around 20-percent of the votes. The remaining three parties will carve up the 45-percent.
If I were guessing? I'd say the referendum for April....will be a simple text....stating a national goal of independence....with a constitution to be written over the next 12 months, and a planned-out exit from Denmark (probably taking two years).
As for passing the referendum? Based on polling in the fall of 2024....around 60-to-70 percent of Greenlanders will approve the measure.
Some Greenlanders being vocal and negative about this path? Yes, without any doubt....somewhere around 10-to-20 percent will be bitter about the process.
As for US relations? I think the independent-status is a bigger deal now, and what you will see over the remainder of 2025....a US consulate already exists, and they probably will add a couple of folks, and simply seek closer relations.
A visit by Trump in 2025? No. I wouldn't rule it out for 2026 though.
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