Friday, June 4, 2021

New Emergency?

 If you read through various German news groups.....there's this 'tidal-wave' coming in mid-summer of boat refugees being 'rescued' in the Med, and delivered into Italy.  Some want to suggest tens of thousands in this period.

The suggestion is that Italy will be overrun and a disaster of handling this many refugees will occur.  

So the Green Party of Germany has stepped up the position on this business....that Germany needs to improve it's acceptance of refugees because of it's size.  The hint, if you go this direction.....France, Germany and Spain ought to take the bulk, with other lesser nations taking smaller numbers.

The problem in this scheme?  It's an election year in Germany, and most of the parties (except the Greens) really don't want to drag up this topic.  It's not like in 2014 or 2015....where the majority of Germans were either neutral or pro-migrant.  If you look around today....I would suggest that it's almost 70-percent of the population who are neutral or anti-migrant.  

The one key difference is that once you start chatting on some rescue or acceptance plan....Germans today want to ask stupid questions, get an idea on cost, and desire that a limit is noted early on in this episode.

Doing this after the September election?  Maybe.  But you also have 2022 as the French election year, and they are in the position with the general public.  

Assuming that the Greens win a majority in the September election....one of the key elements of the coalition talks....will end being the migration policy for 2021 to 2025, and it's hard seeing this being a completely open door as in the 2013 to 2016 period.

Looking across Europe and trying to compare with the 2013 to 2016 era?  It's hard to find any country in Europe where a majority of the citizens is pro-migrant or pro-saving people.  Most people see the past decade as a mixed success and failure situation with acceptance of migrants.  There are some great stories of people who integrated and became part of society.  There are also stories where the programs fell short, and various individuals proved that their integration ability was lacking.

On a top ten priority list?  No, and I would imagine most working-class Germans wouldn't even put it on the top one-hundred list of issues for the Bundestag to work upon.  

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