1. I expect the Ukraine-Russia war to 'end'. Basically, with marginal funding....Ukraine will find itself in a 'hole' and the only answer is to dissolve ownership of a chunk of the eastern side of Ukraine to the Russians.
For Russian-Ukrainians who might be happy over this....they will quickly find that it's a left-over war zone....all crapped-out in terms of infrastructure....and limited Russian funds to rebuild.
For Russians who figure that the war is over, and the economic boycott is gone....they will wake up and realize that no one is fired up to engage in business. The roughly 1.5-million Russians who quietly left the country? They won't be returning.
2. Ireland? I expect the coalition government to collapse by early spring, and new elections are a dramatic situation.
3. Germany? I'm giving a 75-percent chance that the SPD-Green-FDP coalition will fail by spring, with a national election to be held around the EU election....something that the EU will not be happy over.
4. I expect NO coalition government to occur in the Netherlands in 2024....pressing for another election by the end of the year.
No comments:
Post a Comment