Normally, the next national election Germany would be the fall of 2025. Currently, with the budget crisis at hand....there's some suggestions that the government presently (SPD-Greens-FDP) will collapse.
If a collapse occurs? Well...the SPD would go and ask for a month to talk to the CDU-CSU Parties....to possibly work out a deal....allowing the government to stay on and avoid a new election.
How the CDU-CSU Parties would react? I'm guessing they would walk in and ask for the 75-percent of the cabinet posts, and an enormous amount of change to deportation/migration.
The SPD Party might be desperate enough to agree.
But let's go to the next problem....this would only get them through 18 months.
If a new coalition can't be formed? Then an election occurs in the spring of 2024.
Likely winner? CDU-CSU with 30-to-33 percent of the vote. The SPD might be lucky to get in the 14-to-16 percent range. The Greens? Mostly the same position.
A partnership with either the SPD or Greens? Well....yeah, that's what you come back.
The new BWS Party and the AfD Party? They can together take around around 30-percent of the national vote, but no one will seek a coalition with either as a partner.
So the CDU-CSU stuck in a tough position? Oh yeah....and they really can't find some agreement that allows the bulk of their promises to occur....with either the SPD or Greens.
It's funny, from 1947 to this past election....the CDU-CSU Party and the SPD Party were always able to take 50-plus percent of the vote (together) and up to the late 1990s....they were together taking near 70-plus percent.
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