Saturday, April 28, 2018

The Deportation Center Story

There are a couple major issues that routinely pop up when you mention the terms: Germany, migrants, and failed applicants.  One of these issues is deportation.  It came up in the news last night via ARD (public TV, Channel One).

No matter where you come from, or your reasoning for asylum or migration into Germany.....there's paperwork.  Then there's an evaluation.  And then there's the two doors (enter, and exit).  Typically, once you get on the exit list....you can go to an appeal process or legal challenge.   A German judge is then put into the equation.  For some folks, it's a plus....thus a second chance.  But once that judge signs off on the exit situation....there's no more appeals.  And because of the EU rules in place....you can't pack up and go off to Italy, or France, or Sweden.....your whole status was dependent on one single application within the EU.

So ARD sat there and talked about this concept being discussed of the "anchor centers".  Once you failed, you'd be picked up by some cops, and taken to a facility where you'd sit until you got on the plane to leave.

There are two hyped-up groups here.  One group wants the failed applicants out of Germany as soon as possible, with no excuses by doctors, bureaucrats, or pro-asylum 'players'.  The second group believes the centers being discussed will be a total failure, and gives the wrong image to migrants, and the world.

Statistically (at least with early 2018 numbers).....only every third person on the failed visa application list is deported.  Varying reasons exist.  Some will say no passport exists.  Some will face the hardship that the original country refuses to take them back.  Some have doctors writing up 'sick-notes' to delay the process.

Right now.....231,933 persons are in the deportation line.  Roughly three-quarters of this group have a temporary suspension in place because of appeals, doctor's notes, passport issues, or original country refusing them.

For a long time, the German federal government stayed out of this whole business, and it was the state governments (16) that were in charge of deportation efforts.  Oddly, you had some states with very high failure rates on deporting failed applicants.  And you had a couple with statistically higher rates of success.  For the federal government, looking at public negativity from the 2017 election...they've stepped up to the plate and intend to take over the whole mess of deportation.

The suggestion of these centers being created for deportees as appearing as "internment" and "camps"?  Well....yes.  There's some feeling that these will be long-term deportation centers, with people possibly facing more than just days or weeks, and some might be viewing a year or two in some waiting status while their original country argues about taking the guy back.

What's really at fault here?  Two things:

1.  Prior to 2013, for decades....the normal practice of asylum or migration into Germany was that you (in your home country) would go to the German embassy....present a legit ID, and fill out 15 pages of paperwork.  There would be a 90 day (roughly) review process, and if accepted, they'd hand you a full-up visa, and you'd fly out days later into Germany.  The process was simple and worked.  The failed applicants?  They had a chance to apply again.

Decisions were made by the German federal government to just overlook the time-test method, and let people walk in, and demand asylum or migration-status.  This opened the door to a bigger mess.

2.  The 'message' or 'brand' of an open door in Germany has a lot of people arriving under the belief that no review will occur, and that the visa is automatic.  So they refuse to believe otherwise.  Who developed this 'brand'?  The federal folks in Berlin.

All of these deportation centers, once built and operating....will become magnets for the news media in Germany, and likely become negative topics.  Once pushed into this darkened corner....the crowd viewing this as a mess, and fairly negative about migration/asylum.....will decide that their vote needs to be pushed across again, and potentially benefit the AfD Party.  That's the sad part about this whole discussion.  You can either fix the problem, or face up to the public's solution.

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