Tuesday, April 24, 2018

2019 German State Elections

There are only two state elections in Germany for 2018 (Hessen and Bavaria).  While there is a bit of talk over implications....no one is really discussing 2019.  So the German states slated?

1.  Brandenburg, Sept 2019

2.  Saxony, Aug 2019

3.  Thuringia, Sep 2019

What to notice with the three states?  All rest in eastern Germany, and would typically have a fair amount of AfD voting coverage....something that they didn't have five years ago during the last state election period for each.

I essayed earlier today about the influence potential of the Linke Party chief Sahra Wagenknecht leaving the party (only a rumor) and starting her political party with a view on limiting migration/immigration. 

Most of the Wagenknecht slant over the last eight years as been somewhat left-wing in nature, which might appeal to the residents of the three states, and the limiting numbers to migrants....might appeal to AfD-type voters.

If you wanted to jump-start a newly created party, then it would make sense to start this party toward the spring of 2019, and hype the party as the solution against the AfD, the SPD, the Linke Party, and the Greens.

I would be taking a humble guess here, but such a newly created party....might be able to take 15-to-20 percent of the local vote in each state, and really lessen the affect of the AfD Party....at the expense of the Linke Party, and perhaps the SPD Party. 

So it might be worth watching as we enter spring of 2019, and how regional politics start to evolve.

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