German national election for the fall of 2025, and the likely Chancellor-candidates?
First, lets just go and admit that the general public isn't that pepped-up over Scholz (SPD Party), and this will be a correction type election.
So from the SPD Party? I'll generally predict that the new Defense Minister (Pistorius) is the most likely person to emerge as their new candidate.
From the Green Party? I think Habeck will be the primary candidate, but there's going to be a lesser thrill over him, than occurred in 2021.
From the CDU/CSU Party? I project four candidates: (1) Merz (current party boss), (2) Wust (current Premier President of NRW state), (3) Spahn (former Health Minister), and Soder (current Bavarian Premier President).
From the FDP? Lindner.
AfD? Anyone's guess.
At the current pace, I think the CDU/CSU ought to come near 32-percent (assuming Merz is the candidate) and likely win.
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