Wednesday, July 12, 2023

What Happens To Russia At The 'End'?

 Since January of this year, I've eyeballed the Russian economy a good bit.  The problem is....you have to discount much of what the government says because of the faked-up nature of economy numbers.

The same is true for battlefield deaths, the number of people who left Russia, and the gains/losses.  

What you can gain by viewing photos and video?  A lot of the tanks you do see....are manufactured from the 1960s era.  Virtually 90-percent of I've seen over the past four months.....are pretty old equipment.  Occasionally, you will see some items from the 1980s/1970s....but it's pretty rare.

Russians have engaged in vacation travel, but it seems like most are car-driven trips.....not flights.

At the 'end'.....I suspect three things will exist:

1.  I don't think the Russian economy will regain it's spot or status....it'll slip to number forty to fifty.  

2.  I don't think at the 'end' that the banking sector will find stability for at least ten years.  Cyber currency will be the key thing that they buy into....avoiding the Ruble.

3.  Finally, rebuilding the military?  At present....with the economy wrecked-up....I don't see Russia reaching a level of the 2020 status....for at least thirty years (meaning maybe around 2050).

Putin's legend status?  Well....I suspect within ten years after he leaves....he'll be a non-mentioned guy.  No statues....no memorials.  

No comments: