Just odd....ZEIT, Bild and Deutschlandfunk....all have a political slant story this AM....that the CDU Party folks are having a private chat with the FDP/Greens....suggesting that Scholz and the SPD coalition.....is crap, and they should break up....joining for a CDU-FDP-Green gov't.
On my BS-meter....I'd give the chat business a '1' on this talking place (probably true), but in terms of happening....it's a wild crazy idea, BUT all legal.
The German gov't is based on the idea that coalitions will come and go. If the FDP and Greens walk out on Scholz.....the only gov't possible is then a relationship with the CDU/CSU. If they refuse, then you have two scenarios left....a new election or the President allows for 2nd-place CDU-CSU to talk to the Greens and FDP....for a new gov't.
For the record, currently....the CDU-CSU folks are up around 32-percent in polling....leading everyone (if there was another election currently). The SPD is in a pretty crappy third position.
My scenario how this would work? I think the Greens would ask for the Chancellor job, which would be nearly impossible for the CDU-CSU to accept.
Maybe some changes in priorities would convince the Greens to accept a CDU-CSU guy as Chancellor....which means Merz becomes the new Chancellor.
What minister jobs would go to the CDU-CSU? Interior Minister, Labor Minister, Minister of Defense, Minister of Health, Minister of Housing and Development, Minister of Economic Development.
Same date for next election? Yes, that would not change (fall of 2025).
Just odds on this crazy talk? I'd say less than a 30-percent chance. But if you approached most working-class Germans, they wouldn't say it's a bad thing....just agreeing it's really a far fetched idea.
The person who might be the most shocked right now? Merkel....because of all people that she disliked....this Merz guy was probably in the number one or two position.
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