Sunday, March 21, 2021

Political Polling

 Another political poll came out in the past 24 hours....indicating Merkel's party (the CDU) is crapped-out.  If they had an election right now....the party would barely pull 27-percent.

If you read through what Focus wrote to the topic....the harsh reality here is that the SPD Party (the traditional big player) is barely at 17-percent.  That would indicate that the big players (in German politics since 1947) can't pull more than 44-percent of national voting combined.

If you go back to the 1980s/1990s....the two could generally pull 80-percent or more of the national vote combined.

The Greens (at 22-percent) and the FDP (at 10-percent) are the gainers here.

If this were to stay at this level?  Getting a coalition would be extremely difficult (probably requiring three parties to make the 50-percent point or better).

In the present view.....even if the CDU won, and tried to build a coalition with the SPD and FDP....it wouldn't be enough to go over the 50-percent level.  

I'll go and make the assessment....whoever wins in September....will form a fairly weak government to run the country for the next four years.  

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