Friday, November 26, 2021

Germany and Covid: 26 Nov 2021

 1.  Lot of chatter started up last night over news of this new South African variant.  German government folks super-worried.  Some talk of curtailing flights into Europe from South Africa....may be too late anyway.

2.  Kind of a bold statement made by Virus expert Alexander Kekulé (Welt interview): “Those who have been vaccinated and those who have recovered believe they are safe because they were told that until recently. But they also become infected to a considerable extent. "

For probably six months, this was the nightly theme on both public TV networks.....getting vax people to the level feeling 'truly protected'.  This sudden chatter since October about the booster (now almost mandatory)?  The vax deal comes with a certain amount of time, and week by week....the effective protection degrades.  

3.  7-day infection rate now at 438 per 100k residents.  Reporting 76k new infections for past 24 hours over all of Germany.  

4.  RKI reports in recent days.....about 20-percent of all PCR tests done now....are positive.

5.  The EU is about to concrete down the effective dating for a vaccination.....nine months from last jab day.  Your certificate is good for strictly nine months, and then?  More jabs....to get a fresh certificate.  

Reality of this?  Depending on which study you drag out....total effective nature is mostly gone by sixth month....so you might be standing there in a happy EU mode....at month seven, and getting full-up Covid.  

Odds of this changing in six months?  I'd give it a 90-percent chance that it'll go down six months on the certificate lasting.  

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