Saturday, November 20, 2021

How I See the German Christmas Markets Playing Out

 The general rule, across the spectrum, for the remaining Christmas Markets which say they will operate.....is 2G will be in effect (vaxed-up, or recovered).  Non-vaxed people will be kept out.  

So the financial loss?  When you come to the bitter end of December, with the income added up....I'll go and predict the income-level to be around 60 percent of a typical normal year (say like 2019).

Two hinderances exist:

1.  The non-vax crowd would normally have been in the mix....coming several times over the four-week period.  With them forbidden....that cash flow  won't exist.

2.  The older crowd (vaxed-up) will pause over what they now perceive as a threat area to get Covid.  They might make one single trip into the market zone.....just to say they did it.....but the rest of the normal walks through such an area?  Zeroed out.

Can the commercial operations survive with just 60 percent of the normal level?  It'll be just enough to pay bills and cost.  Beyond that....it's a loss for the man-hours involved.

How I'd think about the Christmas Market for November 2022?  Forget it.  I'd question any virus expert or politician on planning my participation or taking any financial risk for the limited income.  

Finally, to this odd problem.  You might have run a food 'cabin' with twenty-five people as your 'team' in a normal year.  If the area is declared 2G....and ten of your team  members are non-vax....they won't be allowed there.  So I see a major shortage of workers in the mix.  Even if you stopped and tried to get a beer or wine....you might be in line for thirty minutes.  That'll challenge regular vaxed-up people to make the trip.   

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