Tuesday, November 16, 2021

More Chaos on the Horizon

 There's chatter via various German news networks this morning that the incoming Chancellor (Olaf Scholz, SPD Party) wants a public debate about mandating Covid vaccinations for certain particular work groups.  Namely....nursing home personnel.  

This came out of a interview that he did yesterday with the Suddeutsche Zeitung newspaper.

Where this talk will lead to?

No one really says the number on retirement home personnel.....as for who is vaccinated and who is non-vax.  By law currently (probably to change), you can't force someone to declare or show their status.  Most expect this to change in January by Bundestag law efforts.

If this were a 30 to 40 percent rate....being non-vax?  Well....the news media and political folks might think you can just mandate things and resolve problems easily.  I would suggest that the group being discussed.....might just turn to view the exit door, and suddenly you'd have a retirement home personnel mess.....with a large segment of people who exited the profession.

Even if this were just ten-percent....it'd be a problem.

But lets go beyond the landscape and imagine this fantasy where you got 100-percent of all retirement home personnel vax'ed up, and then discovered that Covid was still entering the retirement homes via vax'ed up people.  What would you do then?  Would there be any 'trick' left in your bag of tricks to use?  I doubt it.

So back to this Scholz 'talk' that he refers to.....when would it occur?  Most chatter now suggests the new government won't come together until possibly Christmas week (still things they disagree upon).  So this mandate of the vaccine business would be in January.  

Wouldn't this be a major part of the coalition agreement (SPD-Greens-FDP)?  Well....yeah.  There's already been hints of a dozen-odd things which the three can't agree upon. 

If the mandate chatter did start in January....I'd expect it to page one news for at least four to six weeks, and by March....probably be forced.  The exit of nursing home folks?  It'd probably start in mid-April to mid-May timeframe.  

National crisis?  Well....yeah.  You might find a staff of what was twenty-personnel to support a facility suddenly down to ten, and no one predicting when this would clear up.  Adding to it....the vax'ed up people who did stay on.....probably would quietly bring the virus into the facility and the virus experts at a loss to explain why protection didn't come like they promised.

The non-vax nurse/support personnel?  Well, they'd take their termination paperwork over to the regional job-center, and get on unemployment for a while.  The government would be paying for them to stay unemployed.  

2022 being an even more chaotic year?  I might go and prepare myself for more crazy things to happen.  

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