Sunday, November 21, 2021

What's the Whole 3G Chatter on German Trains and Buses?

 If you follow the whole discussion....there's to be a new regulation (has yet to be signed).  Some folks say it'll be signed on Wednesday.....some suggest Thursday.  Effective?  The general talk is that within 24 hours after that signing....you have to be 3G to ride any bus, subway, tram or train.  That means Covid vax'ed, recovered from Covid, or tested within the past 24 hours.  

Kids exempt?  That's the funny thing....students are exempted.  In general, you have to test at school, so they figure there's no reason to attach the new regulation to them.

The current free-testing deal?  It's worded funny....it says you are given one free test per week.  It's not clear if it's free for the other four days.

So if you need to get to work at 6:30 AM, and no testing centers open?  Well....this isn't really explained how it'd work.

Bus  drivers or tram operators enforcing the regulation?  NO.  This is very clear from statements that they don't want the job, and will just work to safely deliver people.

Police left to enforce this?  Yeah.  And if you go to the details of their 'real' job....they really don't have forty hours a week to do 3G enforcement.  

Is there any study to show infection was being generated by travel on trains or buses?  No, that's another funny part of the discussion.  No university study can be produced which shows any real numbers for bus infections.

Requirement set for taxi use?  NO.  There is no regulation on travel via taxi.....again, another funny and amusing part of the story.

How I see this being played out over the next month?  Once 3G is in place and being policed by audits....I'd suggest an average of 10,000 or more 'problems' per day, with people noted without the test accomplished, and non-vax'ed.  

The odds that guilty parties will slow-roll the police?  No doubt.  A single violation situation will probably involve at least 20 minutes of slowing the pace down and making it a miserable experience for the police.  Trying to audit one single car on a regional train at rush-hour, with 90 people on that car?  It'd likely consume a minimum of an hour.

Buses with 100 people onboard at rush-hour morning cycles?  Figure that half the folks will exit the bus at the next stop, and the audit folks left in a fit of anger that they couldn't get the job done.

My gut feeling is that the bus/train 3G deal will end in four to six weeks, with the government admitting it was a brilliant idea which just didn't work as planned.  

Amusingly enough for everyone, it's the same 3G logic for use of prostitutes.  Same guys who pushed the agenda for that situation....probably pushed it for buses and trains.  

And yes, it's more or less a 'passport' without uttering the word 'passport'. 

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